Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.186650 0.222901 0.263652 0.312756 0.370219 0.435230 0.514250
2025-03-09 0.137118 0.184656 0.244123 0.323546 0.426362 0.554432 0.725445
2025-03-16 0.101823 0.150408 0.216348 0.311506 0.444266 0.621685 0.875249
2025-03-23 0.084436 0.134567 0.207280 0.318975 0.484393 0.718080 1.070285
2025-03-30 0.071487 0.121851 0.199296 0.324916 0.520799 0.810994 1.268562
2025-04-06 0.059638 0.108215 0.187062 0.321508 0.541226 0.881010 1.438924
2025-04-13 0.050492 0.097117 0.176682 0.318733 0.561035 0.950618 1.614087
2025-04-20 0.045256 0.091752 0.174752 0.329140 0.602685 1.057847 1.858219
2025-04-27 0.043662 0.092707 0.183767 0.359290 0.680648 1.231349 2.226579
2025-05-04 0.040006 0.089007 0.183655 0.372715 0.730338 1.361320 2.532818
2025-05-11 0.034639 0.080885 0.173933 0.366717 0.743721 1.428871 2.736098
2025-05-18 0.029273 0.071775 0.160866 0.352313 0.739282 1.463405 2.882554
2025-05-25 0.024282 0.062732 0.146925 0.334980 0.728549 1.487931 3.018426
2025-06-01 0.022356 0.060423 0.146964 0.346758 0.777450 1.630272 3.390113
2025-06-08 0.018912 0.053747 0.136296 0.333941 0.774030 1.670431 3.568200
2025-06-15 0.017322 0.051410 0.135128 0.341908 0.815212 1.802622 3.938771
2025-06-22 0.015817 0.048994 0.133381 0.348244 0.853408 1.931989 4.314580
2025-06-29 0.013968 0.045248 0.127767 0.344610 0.868733 2.014784 4.601158
2025-07-06 0.012392 0.041945 0.122738 0.341650 0.885127 2.101089 4.902182
2025-07-13 0.011607 0.040838 0.123288 0.352748 0.935825 2.266585 5.386995
2025-07-20 0.011708 0.042504 0.131587 0.384889 1.040654 2.561246 6.177485
2025-07-27 0.011094 0.041757 0.133069 0.399196 1.103000 2.764790 6.780843
2025-08-03 0.009834 0.038600 0.127187 0.392805 1.112619 2.847702 7.118338